Uncertainties in food prices along with unfavourable base effects are likely to lead to a pick-up in retail inflation in November and December, the monetary policy committee of the Reserve Bank of India observed in their latest review meeting.
The central government has extended the reduced import duty regime for some of the key edible oils by a year as it makes interventions to keep food inflation in check.
Wholesale inflation in India, based on the Wholesale Price Index, is back in positive territory after staying in the negative zone for the seventh straight month until October.
Retail inflation in India continued to ease through October, supported by a relative decline in some of the sub-indexes. The October consumer price index (CPI) came at a four-month low of 4.87 per cent against 5.02 per cent the previous month, official data showed.
The central government has decided that the Food Corporation of India (FCI) shall offload 50 lakh tonnes of wheat and 25 lakh tonnes of rice in the open market in a phased manner under, the Union food ministry said in a release on Wednesday.
According to the rating agency’s report, food inflation in India, which accounts for a sizeable 39 per cent of the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI), is showing renewed signs of pressure.
SBI Research, in its latest 'Ecowrap' report, noted that a continued vigil on the evolving inflation outlook is warranted given the erratic progress of monsoon and its impact on Kharif crop sowing, and subsequently on overall food inflation.
The per plate cost of veg and non-veg thali in India, which has been on a decline since October 2022, nosed up in May and June 2023, according to a Crisil Ratings report.
Many attribute the sharp rise in the vegetable to heatwaves in key tomato-growing areas and heavy rains, as well, as disruption in supply chains. Tomatoes, which have a relatively lower shelf life, could also have put pressure on their prices.
Prices of all commodities, barring precious metals, are likely to moderate in the current year, the Ministry of Finance said in its Monthly Economic Review report. However, they are still expected to remain well above pre-pandemic levels.
The consumer food price index (CFPI) in India moderated to 4.79 per cent in March this year, down from 5.95 per cent in February and 7.68 per cent in March 2022