Gold as a reserve currency by global central banks may continue in 2026, the pace, however, may slow, driven by easing geopolitical risks, evolving monetary policy dynamics and potential shifts in the US dollar trajectory, according to a recent report by YES Bank Economics Research.
Capital flows could also turn more favourable. Potential inclusion of Indian government bonds in global bond indices, stabilisation in corporate earnings, and the likelihood of renewed FPI equity inflows may ease pressure on the rupee.
The Indian rupee, which breached the psychological level of 90 against the US dollar earlier this month, has shown signs of stabilisation, with recent movements indicating that the worst phase of depreciation may be behind, according to a market report by Invesco Mutual Fund.
Under the swap arrangement, banks will sell US dollars to the RBI in the near leg and simultaneously agree to buy back the same amount of dollars at the end of the three-year period
Analysts said the rally reflects a confluence of macroeconomic and geopolitical factors that continue to reshape investor behaviour. They believed that a weaker US dollar as well as escalating geo-political tensions are being reflected in the continuous surge in the prices.
Global central banks are gradually diversifying their foreign exchange reserves away from the US dollar and the euro, increasing exposure to other currencies and gold, highlighted a report by CareEdge Ratings.
The Indian rupee touched a historic low on Tuesday, breaching the 91-mark against the US dollar for the first time. The sharp fall highlights growing pressure on the domestic currency amid continued foreign fund outflows and weak capital inflows.
About a fortnight after breaching 90 mark, the Indian Rupee is inching towards 91, hitting a fresh all-time low. At the time of filing this report, the Rupee was trading at 90.904 per US dollar, with an intraday high of 90.957, just shy of 91.
The Indian rupee has continued to display pronounced weakness this financial year, slipping nearly 5 per cent against the US dollar and consistently trading above the 90-per-dollar mark in recent days.
The US Federal Reserve's latest 25-basis-point rate cut has set the stage for a complex global monetary backdrop, but its implications for India are expected to be relatively stable, according to analysis from YES Bank's Economics Research team.
Congress MP Manish Tewari on Friday moved an adjournment motion in the Lok Sabha, demanding that the poor performance of the rupee be discussed in the Lower House after the Indian currency continued to decline to a new low of 90.43 against the dollar.