Consumer inflation in India is expected to rise to 4.3 per cent in the financial year 2027 (April 2026 to March 2027), compared with an estimated 2.5 per cent in the current financial year, according to a report by Crisil.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Friday projected retail inflation for the current fiscal year (2025-26) at 2.1 per cent, even as it flagged potential "upside risks" from geopolitical tensions and volatile energy prices.
Reserve Bank of India is expected to keep key policy rates unchanged at its upcoming monetary policy review meeting, slated during February 4-6, 2026, according to Crisil.
Headline inflation in December 2025 increased by 62 basis points relative to November 2025. Inflation remained below the Reserve Bank of India's medium-term target of 4% for the 11th straight month.
Retail inflation in India has likely edged up in December 2025 to 1.66 per cent from 0.71 per cent in November, with food prices strengthening across most segments of the food inflation basket, according to projections made by Union Bank of India.
The decline in Consumer Price Index (CPI) or retail inflation due to massive GST rate rationalisation has been around 25 bps so far in the September-November 2025 period, according to estimates put forth by SBI Research.
As the base effect on food fades, headline Consumer Price Index or retail inflation is likely to edge up slightly to average at 2.5 per cent this financial year 2025-26, Crisil has asserted.
India's retail inflation or Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose to 0.71 per cent in November 2025, marking an increase of 46 basis points compared to October 2025, according to the data released by the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation on Friday.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is expected to keep the policy repo rate unchanged at 5.5 per cent and maintain its existing stance in the upcoming December Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting, a report by YES Bank said.
India's macroeconomic outlook remains firmly positive, with easing inflation, strengthening domestic demand and improving policy transmission placing the economy on a stable growth path, noted the Monthly Economic Review released on Thursday, by the Department of Economic Affairs, Ministry o