The stock market in the upcoming week will be looking at global happenings such as international market performance, anticipations of recession in the US, and domestic macroeconomic indicators such as IIP, CPI, and WPI inflation data, said market analysts.
The State Bank of India in a report projects that India's real GDP will grow by 7.0 per cent year-on-year in FY25, which is slightly lower than the RBI's forecast of 7.2 per cent.
The ongoing volatility in the prices of key food items such as tomatoes, onions, and potatoes (collectively known as TOP) and pulses continues to pose significant challenges for the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), highlights a report by SBI.
BOB also cautioned that the rate cut could be further delayed if inflationary pressures persist. With the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voting 4-2 in favour of maintaining the current policy stance, the decision underscores a growing divide among its members regarding the direction of mone
Economists and Industry bodies have welcomed RBI's move to keep the policy repo rate unchanged they said that maintaining the repo rate provides stability and predictability in the financial markets.
Das added, "Assuming a normal monsoon and taking into account the 4.9 per cent inflation print, Q1 CPI inflation for the current financial year (2024-25) is projected at 4.5 per cent, with q2 at 4.4 per cent, Q3 at 4.7 per cent and Q4 at 4.3 per cent. CPI inflation for the first quarter of n
Adding the reasons behind its anticipation, the credit agency further emphasized factors such as the inflation and, overall risk of food inflation due to the above-normal monsoon will influence the decision of the monetary committee.
The Consumer Price Index for industrial workers surged marginally in June by 1.5 points to 141.4 however, the consumer price inflation for industrial workers declined marginally to 3.67 per cent in June from 3.86 per cent in May 2024.
With La Nina getting precedence going ahead, excess rainfalls could result in crop loss and thus a negative impact on food prices, SBI Research report, authored by Soumya Kanti Ghosh, Group Chief Economic Advisor, said.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is unlikely to change the repo rate, say experts. The three-day monetary policy committee (MPC) meeting to decide on policy rates begins tomorrow, August 6.