Retail inflation in India has likely edged up in December 2025 to 1.66 per cent from 0.71 per cent in November, with food prices strengthening across most segments of the food inflation basket, according to projections made by Union Bank of India.
The decline in Consumer Price Index (CPI) or retail inflation due to massive GST rate rationalisation has been around 25 bps so far in the September-November 2025 period, according to estimates put forth by SBI Research.
India's Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation is expected to ease further and remain in the range of 0.4 per cent to 0.6 per cent in October 2025, supported by sustained declines in essential commodity prices and softening global trends, according to a report by Bank of Baroda (BoB).
India's retail inflation is expected to decline further in October 2025, driven by a high base effect, delayed seasonality in food prices, and the full impact of recent GST reforms, according to a report by Union Bank of India.
India's Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation for FY26 is expected to remain at 2.2 per cent, much lower than the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) forecast of 2.6 per cent, according to a report by the State Bank of India (SBI).
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Wednesday revised its inflation target for the current financial year to 2.6 per cent, marking a significant moderation from earlier projections.
India's wholesale inflation based on All India Wholesale Price Index (WPI) number in August is reported at 0.52 per cent (provisional), official data showed Monday.
India's retail inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), inched up marginally to 2.07 per cent in August 2025 on a year-on-year basis, according to data released by the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation on Friday.
According to the statistics ministry, the year-on-year inflation rate based on Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June was 2.10 per cent (provisional), a decline of 72 basis points in headline inflation from May 2025. It is the lowest year-on-year inflation since January 2019.
Wholesale inflation (WPI) in India turned negative in June at (-) 0.13 per cent as against 0.39 per cent in May, official data from the Ministry of Commerce and Industry showed on Monday.
India's economic growth cycle may be bottoming out, supported by a combination of favorable macroeconomic factors such as the interest rate and liquidity cycle, a decline in crude oil prices, and a forecast of a normal monsoon, according to a report by HSBC Mutual Fund.
This is the lowest year-on-year inflation since July 2019. The decline in inflation is attributed to a decrease in prices of vegetables, pulses and products, fruits, meat and fish, personal care and effects and cereals and products.