On the inflation front, RBI expects Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation to ease to 4.8 per cent in FY25, with Q4 FY25 inflation projected at 4.4 per cent. For FY26, inflation is forecasted at 4.2 per cent, with quarterly estimates as Q1 FY26: 4.5 per cent, Q2 FY26: 4.0 per cent, Q3 FY26:
If India maintains a nominal growth rate of 10.5 per cent its fiscal deficit is expected to reduce to 4 per cent of GDP in the next financial year (FY26), according to a report by SBI Funds.
The government continues the push for the solar sector in the FY26 Budget, with a year-on-year (YoY) rise of over 60 per cent to Rs 242 billion (24,200 cr), according to a report by Jefferies.
The government's market borrowing plans for the financial year 2025-26 (FY26) appear well-placed to support fiscal policy while complementing monetary policy, according to a report by the State Bank of India (SBI).
India's economy is expected to grow at 6.5 per cent in the financial year 2025-26 (FY26), slightly higher than the 6.4 per cent growth estimated for the ongoing fiscal year (FY25), according to a report by Crisil.
After the economic survey projects that the country's growth in FY26 is expected to remain in the range of 6.3 per cent to 6.8 per cent, a report by PwC stated that there are downside risks to the growth from the external factors.
After the Economic Survey projected India's real GDP growth for FY26 in the range of 6.3-6.8 per cent, a report by Bank of Baroda stated that with an assumed GDP deflator of 3.5 per cent, the country's nominal GDP growth could be around 9.8-10.3 per cent.
The Economic Survey tabled in Parliament on Friday, aligns with RBI's projection of headline inflation for FY26 at 4.2 per cent and 4.8 per cent in the current fiscal ahead of the Union Budget to be presented on Saturday.
India's economy is projected to grow between 6.3 per cent and 6.8 per cent in FY26, according to the Economic Survey 2024-25, tabled in Parliament on Friday.
The government is expected to continue on its fiscal deficit reduction path, bringing it down to 4.4 per cent of GDP in FY26. A strategic focus on investment and spending reforms will help balance fiscal prudence with economic expansion.