Rajani Sinha, Chief Economist at CareEdge, noted, "Despite the moderation in the inflation of the food and beverage basket when compared to last year, the sequential momentum remains strong, with a 2.5 per cent M-o-M increase in prices, higher than an average sequential grow."
The ongoing volatility in the prices of key food items such as tomatoes, onions, and potatoes (collectively known as TOP) and pulses continues to pose significant challenges for the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), highlights a report by SBI.
With La Nina getting precedence going ahead, excess rainfalls could result in crop loss and thus a negative impact on food prices, SBI Research report, authored by Soumya Kanti Ghosh, Group Chief Economic Advisor, said.
According to CRISIL report, the increase in food prices, particularly vegetables, cereals, milk, and fruits, has been a significant contributor to this uptick.
Wholesale food prices have skyrocketed month-on-month in May, with official data showing that the Whole Price Index for food rising from 5.52 per cent in April to 7.40 per cent in May.
"Further easing of food prices is on the anvil as IMD has predicted above-normal rainfall during the monsoon season, which is likely to lead to higher production, assuming good spatial and temporal distribution of the rainfall," says March 2024, monthly economic review of the finance mini
Pressure in food prices has been interrupting the ongoing disinflation process in India, and posing challenges for the final descent of inflation trajectory to the 4 per cent target, as per minutes of RBI's monetary policy meeting that was held earlier this month.