With the Union Budget for FY27 scheduled for Sunday, expectations are tamed even as markets remain alert to the possibility of selective positive surprises, according to a pre-Budget note by Union Bank of India (UBI).
"We expect the Centre's fiscal deficit in FY26-27 to be pegged at 4.2% of GDP. We estimate that this would take debt-to-GDP down to 55% in FY26-27. For FY25-26, we expect the fiscal deficit target of 4.4% to be met, despite serious slippage concerns," noted the report.
"Our deficit has only fallen with time, so there is consolidation. However, there is some degree of concern when it comes to the state deficits. There is a need to look at why some states are moving away from the Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management (FRBM) or the kind of gains they ha
The number of Indian states reporting a revenue surplus has declined sharply over the years, falling from 19 in FY19 to just 11 in FY25 (Provisional Accounts), highlighting rising fiscal stress at the state level, according to the Economic Survey.
The Economic Survey of India tabled in Parliament on Thursday highlighted a steady improvement in the Centre's fiscal position, noting that fresh government borrowings are now increasingly being used to service past interest obligations rather than to finance current spending.
India's fiscal deficit is budgeted at 4.4% of GDP in FY26, and policymakers are expected to signal a further consolidation to around 4.0% in FY27, EY said. However, slower-than-expected nominal GDP growth and subdued tax collections have narrowed the room for manoeuvre.
States' consolidated gross fiscal deficit increased to 3.3 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2024-25, after remaining below 3.0 per cent during the previous three consecutive years, Reserve Bank's annual publication "State Finances: A Study of Budgets" noted.
A survey conducted by the Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FICCI) found strong optimism across industry in India, with nearly 80 per cent of respondents expressing confidence in the country's growth prospects.
The Finance Minister, in the upcoming Union Budget 2026, is likely to refrain from further fiscal consolidation in FY27, according to a report by Nuvama.
The government is likely to prioritise medium-term debt consolidation while sustaining a strong push for capital expenditure in the upcoming Union Budget for 2026-27, according to pre-Budget expectations outlined by rating agency ICRA.
India's overall exports in December 2025 stood at USD 74.01 billion, marginally lower than USD 74.77 billion in December 2024, while imports rose sharply to USD 80.94 billion from USD 76.23 billion a year ago, according to official data released by the Ministry of Commerce and Industry on Th
Her remarks came as residents along the LoC in Rajouri reported heightened vigilance following multiple drone sightings over the past few days. Locals said suspected Pakistani drones were seen in the Naushera-Rajouri sector on Tuesday night, prompting increased alertness by both security