Impact of demonetisation still present in Indian economy: Gurucharan Das

Bengaluru (Karnataka) [India], March 12: MPOWER Financing, a leading global firm enabling high-potential international students to pursue higher education abroad, has shared its assessment of the newly announced changes to the U.S. H-1B visa program. MPOWER's internal modeling, based on the past several years of H-1B results, suggests that the shift from a random lottery to a wage-based selection would have a neutral or even positive impact for Indian Master's STEM graduates.

India's real gross domestic product (GDP) growth is expected to moderate to 7.1 per cent in fiscal 2027 from 7.6 per cent in the previous year, according to a report by Crisil Intelligence.

The primary concern for the Indian economy is the sharp increase in fuel costs. According to the report, "Brent has moved up from a range of US$ 65-US$ 70 per barrel to US$ 110 per barrel since the war broke out." This surge is linked to major infrastructure failures in the region. "Iran's oil infrastructure has been damaged. The Strait of Hormuz is closed. LNG supply from Qatar is closed. Natural gas price has surged by 50%," the report added.

In an interview with ANI, Mishra highlighted that India's heavy reliance on imported "dense energy" makes it a primary target for global price volatility. "Every dollar increase per barrel costs approximately $1.8 billion annually. For instance, a $50 increase in oil prices represents a $90 billion impact, which is more than 2% of our GDP if sustained for a year."

Former Chief Economic Advisor Krishnamurthy Subramanian has expressed confidence that India can sustain an average economic growth rate of around 8 per cent over the next two decades, arguing that policymakers must aim for such expansion if the country is to fully realise its long-term economic potential.